The tragedy in this is that when thermal plants start to fail (or become much more expensive to run), green activists will point to this and say "we told you so" and "we just need more wind and solar (which is cheaper anyway)". The merchants of renewable spreadsheets are culpable in a way in which we cannot even know yet.
Thank you for your writing - voices of reason are shouted down by the theocracy.
The Laws of Unintended Consequences. Part XXI of How the World Ends: The Climate Grift
How is it that "those who think they know what's best for humanity" know least the dark arts of design, engineering, procurement, construction and management (along with monitoring and maintenance). That they require pedigreed skills buttressed by complex math, constrained budgets, scarce resources and an array of physical sciences... These are what's best for humanity as they prop us up and allow us to flourish. I sometimes thin that they want us all gone.
Dont forget the impact of the push to electrify everything from cars to cooking, heating and cooling. This will have big impact on generation. The hidden impact will be on the distribution network where the ADMD (after diversity max demand) will go up significantly and drive a big investment in distribution system upgrades - transformer upgrades, extra transformers, re-conducting and voltage management issues. That will be a big capital spend and who will pay...consumers
As I understand it, instead of increasing reserve margin, this is being cut by ISO's for short term cost cutting to fit expectations and lower system cost to keep utility bills down.
The tragedy in this is that when thermal plants start to fail (or become much more expensive to run), green activists will point to this and say "we told you so" and "we just need more wind and solar (which is cheaper anyway)". The merchants of renewable spreadsheets are culpable in a way in which we cannot even know yet.
Thank you for your writing - voices of reason are shouted down by the theocracy.
I will help. But I have to get current work done before I do that. A life-cycle cost analysis for what is needed here is not a small undertaking.
The Laws of Unintended Consequences. Part XXI of How the World Ends: The Climate Grift
How is it that "those who think they know what's best for humanity" know least the dark arts of design, engineering, procurement, construction and management (along with monitoring and maintenance). That they require pedigreed skills buttressed by complex math, constrained budgets, scarce resources and an array of physical sciences... These are what's best for humanity as they prop us up and allow us to flourish. I sometimes thin that they want us all gone.
Good read - thanks for sharing!
Dont forget the impact of the push to electrify everything from cars to cooking, heating and cooling. This will have big impact on generation. The hidden impact will be on the distribution network where the ADMD (after diversity max demand) will go up significantly and drive a big investment in distribution system upgrades - transformer upgrades, extra transformers, re-conducting and voltage management issues. That will be a big capital spend and who will pay...consumers
Excellent articles. Lots of good information.
As I understand it, instead of increasing reserve margin, this is being cut by ISO's for short term cost cutting to fit expectations and lower system cost to keep utility bills down.